Monday 28 April 2014
Situation on Ukraine might influence Polish gas supply
As the New York Times and the Polish Radio informed
today, many countries have decided to take decision in supplying Ukraine with
the gas (reversing the direction of the pipeline, consequently), Poland might
face problems with the gas supply.
As the New York Times and the Polish Radio informed today, many countries have decided to take decision in supplying Ukraine with the gas (reversing the direction of the pipeline, consequently), Poland might face problems with the gas supply.
The New York Times spoke today about plans of Italian
gas company in covering part of the Ukraine’s gas demand with their product, as
well as Slovakian company Eustream. The company is going to use the “backup”
pipeline as Russia do not agree with using the pipeline normally used by their
gas. Eustream can provide around 20 % of the Ukraine’s demand.
Currently, the main pipeline providing Russian gas
passes through Belarus ( so called pipeline “Przyjazn” = “Friendship”) so
theoretically in case of eventual discourses on the line Ukraine – Russia, we
are safe. In the same time, it is worth considering how Polish position towards
Ukraine shapes the international relation in the region.
Bearing in mind the encouraging and supporting
approach that Ukraine received from Poland and current changes relating to its
gas supply, Russia might fear similar action regarding Belarus (which is still
governed in an authoritarian way). The opposition is highly supported by Polish
activists and, from my perspective, it is probably that Russia could try to “suppress
the rebellion in the seed” – before it actually happens.
Poland is highly dependent on the Russian gas. In 2009
, the supply of gas from the Ukraine’s side to PKN Orlen has already been cut,
causing long and intensive discussion within Poland and on the international
area.
The problem would be definitely solved by
diversification of the gas suppliers, strongly supported by construction of terminals for receiving of liquefied natural gas. There is already one
terminal of this type (see more: http://polish-energy-blog.blogspot.it/2014/03/polish-plans-regarding-import-of-gas.html)
in Swinoujscie but it is not sufficient. In the current situation, Poland must
enforce contracts for broadening supplies
and play jointly with
the EU in this field.
Picture retrieved from: http://www.shwe.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/PGC_Pipeline_Data.jpg
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